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Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Apple Needs Content

Apple has taken another leap into the TV set with a new and improved "converter box" experience. No longer will the Apple TV need to access content from a mac, now it can go directly to the clouds. "Apple TV had previously allowed users to rent television shows from iTunes, but the new update essentially allows them to use iTunes like a storage locker for purchased shows that can be watched at any time. Rentals are still allowed, but part of Apple’s pitch for iCloud has been the ability to access your files essentially anywhere at any time if you’re using an Apple mobile device." Easier to access, easier to watch, it's a whole new experience.

But like the boy in "Oliver", we want more. For Apple it means more content. Netflix users have argued that their is limited content available to stream. Apple users will demand even more content for viewing. As Apple moves down this path of cloud access for content, consumers will expect that they will have ultimate choice: Do they want to rent or own the content, do they want a hard copy or just streamed, can they rent for one day or get a discount for multiple days. And that there will be choice.

If Apple is truly in the hunt for acquiring a content distributor, a Hulu or Netflix to fill the queue. Or Apple needs to make more aggressive deals with networks to access their content directly. The consumer is yelling for more and Apple is clearly moving in that direction to deliver.

Monday, August 1, 2011

Goodbye Versus, Hello ?

I love branding. A name can say so much...or so little. Some brands show logos, like Nike and Apple, need we say more. And initials always seems to come from names that are too long. That seems especially true in the cable network department.

Today it was announced that the Versus network will be changing its name the beginning of the year to NBC Sports Network. A mouthful. So many networks that started that eventually become just initials. Here's a partial list:

American Movie Classics to AMC
The Learning Channel ... TLC
Home Box Office ... HBO
Movietime ... E Entertainment ... E!
Romance Classics ... Women's Entertainment ... WE
Arts & Entertainment ... A&E
Black Entertainment Television ... BET
SciFi ... SYFY
and of course Outdoor Life Network ... OLN ...Versus to ?

Some have always been initials like fx, CNBC, AND MSNBC. Some have names that people barely remember. ESPN - Entertainment Sports and Programming Network, and CNN - Cable News Network. Or even defunct regional networks like PRISM - Philadelphia Regional In-Home Sports and Movies.

So I can only imagine that the newly named NBC Sports Network will soon be known simply as NBCS or SNBC or NBCSN. We love our initials and NBC Sports Network is simply too long to say.

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Should Comcast Buy Tivo

Since I felt it necessary to tell Apple what to buy with its money, I feel compelled to do the same with other companies. No attaching article, just my own thoughts to best serve my needs. And so my first recommendation is for Comcast to buy Tivo. If you don't mind proactively recording future shows, then the DVR is your friend. Having used both the Tivo and DVR, I wish that Comcast would buy them so as to quickly integrate them into their DVR service. Sure Comcast has a deal with Tivo, but do they market it, no. A Tivo DVR should be standard on every Comcast DVR box. And it might make it a lot easier for Tivo to get traction with other cable operators as well.

Okay, so Comcast has a lot on their plate, still arguing with the DOJ about their NBC merger. So if not Comcast, then Cisco should step up. They bought Scientific Atlanta, the company that makes the DVR boxes, they should buy Tivo and thus make their DVR superior. Why am I obsessed with upgrading the cable DVR experience? Because when you have driven a better car, it is hard to go back to the old clunker.

Okay, one more acquisition idea. Ultimately, I want Apple to have a second distribution platform and Sirius could be the company that also supports their cloud based approach. Add to that the content that Sirius produces, and Apple gets the one two punch with an acquisition of both content and distribution. Far-fetched or brilliant, it may initially seem like an odd couple but it could just be the next spark for what you want, when you want, where you want, how you want. As long as Steve Jobs and Howard Stern get along.

Friday, July 29, 2011

How Should Apple Spend It's Money

Record profits and earnings, Apple has more money, over 76 billion dollars, in the bank, than even our own government. So what should Apple and Steve Jobs do with it besides hide it in the mattress.

There has been some speculation that Apple should release a dividend or buy back it's stock, pleasing to shareholders, but not a long term strategy for growth. Others want Apple to purchase another company, and the latest talk is Hulu. Where Apple has had a purchase strategy through its iTunes' store, Hulu has delivered a rental and subscription strategy. But it's owners, a consortium of programmers, may have deals in place with Hulu that may not be ideal in the long term. I don't believe that Hulu and Apple would be a great fit.

So let me throw out other possible acquisitions for Apple that would excite me more. Apple needs a streaming rental play; Netflix is pushing hard in that space. With Amazon and You Tube on its heels, Netflix could use a strategic partner in Apple and Apple could easily integrate the Netflix model into it's products and software stores. It would also enable a better fit to the Apple TV device pushing rental content as well as purchased content into the TV. And as content drives use of iPads and iPhones, Netflix brings Apple more content and another streaming platform.

Another idea for Apple is Barnes and Noble. While Liberty Media may be making a run, Apple could benefit again with another content play. E-books are growing, a Nook powered by Apple, gives it additional credibility and broadens Apple's product line, and the digital print platform fits nicely with the iTunes library. Add to that the retail locations, which gives Apple even more access across the country.

Lastly, and perhaps a long shot, Apple should buy a company like Lightsquared. To own a wireless platform to enable broadband access across the country means that Apple could have more control of its content delivery directly into the hands of the consumer. At the same time, it puts them into a stronger competitive position against the cable operators, and lead to even faster cord cutting. The challenge for such an acquisition is that it would also put them against the telcos as well, who currently sell 3G and 4G distribution for their products.

Now I wouldn't mind if Apple sent me a check for a 100G, but that is not going to happen. Still with so much cash on its hands, and a shareholder desire for Apple to keep growing, Apple must either be spending more on R&D or looking for an acquisition to build out better synergies. It is unlikely that Apple will simply issue a cash dividend or stock buyback. It is their nature to innovate and grow. With that in mind, a content or distribution play is the likely next step.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

How Do You Like To Watch?

Get your minds out of the gutter, it is an innocent question asked about how viewers like to watch their video content. With cable operators reporting drops in cable subscription, online consumption has only been growing. And there not watching just on their PC. "Video game consoles have a lot to do with the discrepancy: Half of all Netflix users connect to its streaming service through their Nintendo Wii, Sony PlayStation 3 or Microsoft Xbox consoles, according to the survey. ... The findings highlight the strong appeal of TV sets for streaming digital video, connected through myriad Internet-enabled devices. Other methods of connecting include Blu-Ray players, TVs with Internet access and Roku boxes."

We like our big TVs, we just don't need a cable box to receive video programming. And with internet connected devices, we can watch what we want, when we want, where we want, what we want. With Wal-Mart, Amazon, and others pushing streaming content, demand for it should only increase. I only expect that future research studies will show a larger percentage of viewing will be watched through streaming devices. It also speaks well for the future of Apple TV, as a device that easily transmits content into the TV. We watch our content at our convenience where it makes most sense at the time. So how do you prefer to watch streaming media content?

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Wal-Mart Trying Hard To Compete With Netflix, Apple And Others

Big box stores like Wal-Mart are recognizing that they need to have a strong digital business to survive and compete. And a dot com strategy must be more thaan simply selling its in-store merchandise online. It is why Wal-Mart continues to push a streaming media video play. "A cloud-based video movie service, Vudu lets customers rent or buy movies over the Internet and stream them to their TVs, Blu-ray players and a variety of Vudu-enabled devices such as Sony's (SNE) PlayStation 3 and HDTVs from LG Electronics, Sharp and Panasonic (PC)." Vudu was bought by Wal-Mart last year and is being rolled out next week.

Wal-Mart hopes that it is not too late to the game, with Apple, Netflix, Amazon, and others also in this space. "Unlike competing services such as Netflix, the Vudu platform on Walmart.com does not offer any subscription service, and the retailer said it does not currently plan to offer such a service." A one off strategy may not be enough to work as companies are looking hard at subscription strategies as a means to better forecast and achieve higher revenues. And Wal-Mart may need to add music and other digital deliverables to its mix as demand for these other downloads grow as well.

Like the early days of cable, when there were many operators, the streaming media business will quick enough find that it needs to consolidate with others to control and own the platform. Perhaps Wal-Mart needs a partner like Barnes and Noble to add a digital book component to its mix. Or perhaps it could align with Apple to mutually support their new cloud approach. At the end of the day, many platforms for distribution streaming will merge into few and the leaders will be the ones to pursue consolidation and growth strategies.

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

More Reasons Apples New App In-Purchase Policy May Hurt Them

Check out this article in Wired Magazine. Apple is only opening the doors to other means to not use an Apple app.

"No Soup (I mean No Book) For You"

If your used to buying your e-books off your iPad, the process has gotten trickier. But if you are a Nook or Kindle owner, purchasing new books off your devices, but sometime reading them on your iPad or iPhone, there should be nothing to worry about. It's just that Apple doesn't want to enable purchase behavior without getting a piece of the pie. And at a 30% piece, Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and others have decided to remove the purchase feature from their respective apps. So if you were previously buying through the app, the process has gotten a bit more cumbersome, as you have to go into the website; if your buying off your e-reader, you just won't notice.

Does Apple have a point? Well it is their store and there is a cost for the convenience. They are the Wallmart of App Stores with little competition at the moment. At the same time, a 30% piece of the sale may also sound awfully high, especially for simply being a pass through. How will consumers react? If they find a comfort level by going through the website, it may also enable individual content producers to recognize an opportunity to create a unique value proposition by going direct to the web. And should more and more content companies find value in marketing directly to the consumer, and consumers find satisfaction from this approach, Apple may have initiated a big sea change, all for a 30% short term margin. It is these strategic decisions that make Apple and other companies constantly re-evaluate their processes so as to understand consumers changing purchase behavior. Hopefully Apple is paying close attention to the repercussions of this app strategy.

Monday, July 25, 2011

Has Bing Gone Bong?


Google's cornerstone revenue stream comes from search. For Microsoft, it remains their operating system. And their expansion into a competitive search engine to rival Google was designed to diversify and grow profitability. Alas, no such luck. "The division that houses Bing lost $2.6 billion in the latest fiscal year." That doesn't sound like a distraction; rather, a full on problem! Does Google simply have the upper hand, does the consumer not want choice of search engines, or does Microsoft simply not have the marketing juice to overtake an incumbent?

Could Bing be more successful in the hands of another company, one that can better utilize the value from a search engine. "Moreover, there are potential buyers. Facebook already works with Bing. It might be interested in buying the site, keeping more traffic onsite, and perhaps using its data to better tweak search results. That would be a potent weapon in its fight with Google, which recently introduced a rival social network, Google+. Apple might even be interested, given its growing online ambitions, evidenced by its consideration of a bid for Hulu."

Truthfully, no incumbent is ever safe; change is rampant, especially in the technology industry, and today's winner is tomorrow's failure. As consumers, we will change search engines, just like we change ISP and cable providers, video platforms, and other businesses, when the buzz and value gets noticed by the consumer and sways us to change behavior. It is why Google must continue to innovate, why it must add new products and services, and why it must take risks.

Microsoft has had amazing success with it's operating system and with XBox. But it has had many failures too. Bing may not have had a chance in the Microsoft culture. It may be a better fit with Facebook or Apple or Yahoo. It may be hard for Microsoft to concentrate on Bing when it's core business is being hurt by tablets and cloud applications. With Apple owning the mobile and tablet space, and netbooks not requiring a Microsoft operating system to function, computing is slowly moving away from Microsoft. For that reason, Bing has become an expensive distraction for Microsoft in maintaining their PC leadership position.